(Blog Post) The public demonstrations against the result don't appear to be that big. In the past decade, reformers have always backed down in Iran when challenged by hardliners, in part because no one wants to relive the horrible Great Terror of the 1980s after the revolution, when faction-fighting produced blood in the streets. Mousavi is still from that generation. Full Story »
Posted by Kaizar CampwalaTo:
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On some points, I find this reasonable. On others, I find suspect. To call the first point into question, Khamenei is Azeri -- and Politico reports (see links) that Ahmadinejad speaks Azeri fluently. The author also refers to Moussavi and Karoubi as reformists, which should be a laughing matter for anyone paying attention. But the author shows a healthy awareness for the lack of details and concrete evidence to draw big conclusions right now.
