Final Presidential Estimate: Obama 55%, McCain 44%

Gallup by Jeffrey M. Jones, Frank Newport, Lydia Saad | Nov. 3, 2008 (Poll)

The final Gallup 2008 pre-election poll -- based on Oct. 31-Nov. 2 Gallup Poll Daily tracking -- shows Barack Obama with a 53% to 42% advantage over John McCain among likely voters. When undecided voters are allocated proportionately to the two candidates to better approximate the actual vote, the estimate becomes 55% for Obama to 44% for McCain.

The trend data clearly show Obama ending the campaign with an upward movement in support, with eight ... Full Story »

Posted by Leo Romero

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Fred_gatlin_thumb
4.1
 by Fred Gatlin - Nov. 3, 2008

This is an excellent discussion of polling results. It explains the three polls Gallup have used through the campaign and how they are different. Most important is the results come together at the end of the campaign.

Tomorrow we will learn how accurate all the polls were.

(12 answers)

Fred's Rating

Overall
4.1

Good
from 12 answers
Quality
4.1
Facts
4.0
Fairness
4.0
Information
4.0
Sourcing
5.0
Style
4.0
Context
4.0
Depth
4.0
Enterprise
4.0
Popularity
4.0
Recommendation
4.0
Credibility
4.0
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