McCain's fate rests on who will vote

Chicago Tribune by Jim Tankersley | Nov. 2, 2008 (News Report)

As the presidential race enters its final weekend after two years of battle, John McCain's best chance for a history-defying comeback rests in the greatest of electoral unknowns: voter turnout.

To win on Tuesday, analysts and polls suggest, the Republican nominee must win nearly all the remaining undecided voters in key swing states and peel a large chunk of "soft" supporters from Democratic rival Barack Obama. Then he must hope that his ... Full Story »

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4.2

by Marsha Iverson - Nov. 2, 2008

Excellent presentation of different perspectives on polling, voter turnout estimates, and the variables--known and unknown--that affect interpretation and prediction of the outcome.

There are certainly many variables involved in predicting the future. There also are perhaps more polls than ever before, and absolutely more people ... More »

McCain pollster Bill McInturff said polls that show Obama with wide leads appear to greatly overestimate the number of self-described Democrats. Some show Democrats with a ... More »

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3.1

by Fred Gatlin - Nov. 2, 2008

This whole article seems tied to historical behavior in prediction of who will vote in 2008 and it appears that those who were interviewed do not completely understand the history. Republicans win when the number of voters is lower and/or if they can brand their opponent as a liberal devil. The more that vote the more likely they will lose

See Full Review » (12 answers)