Interesting opinion piece by the Washington Post's polling director about whether the current election polls are right or wrong. The author offers an insightful and well-reasoned analysis, based on extensive factual evidence from multiple sources, to help us understand the strengths and weaknesses of today's polls. It concludes with a sense of confidence that Obama is ahead, by correlating polling data with reasonable evidence from other methodologies, such as predictive models and ... More »

Written by The Washington Post's polling director, this introspective, honest op-ed explains the science and subtlety of polling, and his personal nerves and jitters based on polling's history. His descriptions of how polls work, what other pollsters are finding, and reflections on 1948 and 1980 polling snafus are clearly written, accessible and interesting.