FiveThirtyEight
Online | Independent
FiveThirtyEight.com is a political website established in March 2008 by Nate Silver. The site compiles polling data through a unique methodology derived from Silver's experience in baseball sabermetrics to "balance out the polls with comparative demographic data"[1] and "weighting each poll based on the pollster's historical track record, sample size, and recentness of the poll."[2] FiveThirtyEight.com also uses computer models to simulate the election 10,000 times per day in order to provide a continually up-to-date assessment of probability for electoral outcomes. The site is ... More » (Source: wikipedia)
Overview
Political Viewpoint:
Neutral viewpoint
Editorial
Edited By:
Kaizar Campwala
Last Edit:
Nov 3, 2008 - 10:53 PM PST
Story Stats
Top Topics:
Politics (43), U.S. (31), Health (18), Health Care (18), Obama Administration (11), Media (8), Business (8), Republicans (8), World (6), Presidential Election 2008 (6), U.S. Congress (5), Democrats (5), Media and Politics (5), U.S. Economy (4), U.S. Senate (4)...
Top Authors:
Nate Silver (34), Tom Schaller (4), Noreply@Bloggercom (3), Renard Sexton (2), Andrew Gelman (1), Mark Bluemthal (1)
Top Formats:
News Analysis (19), Opinion (8), Poll (7), Special Report (3), News Report (2), News (2), Other (1), Review (1), Investigative Report (1)
These stories are automatically selected from this source's feed(s), including: FiveThirtyEight
New Stories
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5 Reasons Democrats Could Beat the Polls and Hold the House
(Blog Post) While our forecast and a good deal of polling data suggest that the Republicans may win the House of Representatives on Tuesday, perhaps all is not lost for the Democrats. ...Posted by Jon Mitchell -
5 Reasons Republicans Could Do Even Better Than Expected
(Blog Post) Dawn breaks over New York City on Wednesday, Nov. 3. Democrats catching the early train to work are thinking about adding a little whiskey to their morning coffee. Because the ...Posted by Jon Mitchell -
Tonight’s House Forecast: 52-Seat Gain For G.O.P.
If Democrats were hoping for a late surge to improve their chances of retaining control of the U.S. House, there isn't any evidence of it yet.Posted by Jon Mitchell -
Early Voter ‘Enthusiasm Gap’ Appears Consistent With Polls
Early voting suggests an enthusiasm edge for Republicans, although the data are somewhat ambiguous.Posted by Jon Mitchell -
Consensus Points Toward 50-Seat G.O.P. Gain in House
FiveThirtyEight’s projection for the U.S. House shows little change from last week. Republicans are given a 73 percent chance of taking over the House, up incrementally from ...via Peter Daou -
Murkowski Can Win as Write-In
(Blog Post) There is plenty of precedent for write-ins being elected to the Congress, although fewer have done so successfully in recent years.Posted by Jon Mitchell -
Opinion on Same-Sex Marriage Appears to Shift at Accelerated Pace
In April, 2009, when we last took a survey of gay marriage polls, we found that support for it had converged somewhere into the area of 41 or 42 percent of the country. Now, ...Posted by Jon Mitchell -
The Emerging Republican Minority
The Center for American Politics' Ruy Teixeira, one of the top political demographers in the country, has a new paper out in which he examines the two major party coalitions, ...Posted by Kaizar Campwala -
Something Fishy in South Carolina?
(Blog Post) Is there something suspicious about the results in the US Senate primary victory of unknown Democrat Alvin Greene, who defeated fellow Democrat Vic Rawl, 59 percent to 41 ...Posted by Kaizar Campwala -
What Tuesday Really Meant
There were five races that we were tracking closely over the course of the evening -- and I've already seen analysts drawing flimsy conclusions from each of them.Pennsylvania ...Posted by Beth Wellington
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