FiveThirtyEight
Online | Independent
FiveThirtyEight.com is a political website established in March 2008 by Nate Silver. The site compiles polling data through a unique methodology derived from Silver's experience in baseball sabermetrics to "balance out the polls with comparative demographic data"[1] and "weighting each poll based on the pollster's historical track record, sample size, and recentness of the poll."[2] FiveThirtyEight.com also uses computer models to simulate the election 10,000 times per day in order to provide a continually up-to-date assessment of probability for electoral outcomes. The site is ... More » (Source: wikipedia)
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Political Viewpoint:
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Edited By:
Kaizar Campwala
Last Edit:
Nov 3, 2008 - 10:53 PM PST
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Comparing the Votes of the Rich and the Poor
(Blog Post) As just about everybody knows by now, richer Americans tend to vote Republican while poorer Americans go for the Democrats. But this isn't true for all groups. For an amusing ...via FiveThirtyEight -
When You Assume, You Make a Mess Out of Your Poll
It's a bit difficult to reconcile the results of three questions from the new Washington Post/ABC News poll on health care reformvia FiveThirtyEight -
Are The Health Care Protests Working? And are Liberals Helping Them?
It's been interesting to digest the interaction between liberal and conservative blogs on the issue of the health care protests. If you take a look at a service like ...via FiveThirtyEight -
On Health Care, Bipartisanship without Compromise?
The big news of the day is the letter sent by a "gang" of six "bipartisan" senators (there was a sale on scare quotes at Target today) urging Harry Reid and Mitch McConnell ...via FiveThirtyEight -
George F. Will Admits Public Option Will Cut Costs
Insurance exists because of the decreasing marginal utility of income: most people would rather have a 100% chance of paying $300 a month than a 1% chance of paying $30,000 a ...Posted by Derek Hawkins -
Politics Done Right: Iran Does Have Some Fishy Numbers
Again, as we have mentioned on several occasions, the numbers still do not prove any wrongdoing, as large scale changes in public opinion do happen regularly around the world. ...Posted by Joey Baker -
Obama: Highest Initial Approval For Elected President?
Barack Obama's favorability ratings have continued to improve as we approach Tuesday's inauguration. But how do they compare to those of his predecessors? The two highest ...Posted by Fabrice Florin -
Is Coleman's Goal a Do-Over?
If you read the rest of Marc's piece, it's clear that it has been informed by discussions with the Coleman campaign; he's basically reporting the Coleman campaign's spin on ...Posted by Kaizar Campwala -
Zogby Engages in Apparent Push Polling for Right-Wing Website
The conservative website HowObamaGotElected.com reports that it has commissioned Zogby International to conduct a poll of 512 Barack Obama voters as part of what can best be ...Posted by Dwight Rousu -
Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls
1. Exit polls have a much larger intrinsic margin for error than regular polls. This is because of what are known as cluster sampling techniques. Exit polls are not conducted ...Posted by Kaizar Campwala
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Clinton's Busy Summer
U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton arrives in Moscow today to begin three days of talks with high level Russian officials including President Medvedev and Foreign ...Posted by Tyler Kane -
In New Jersey, Two Glasses Half-Empty
(Blog Post) Rothenberg is absolutely correct that it would be improper to convey the impression that Jon Corzine, the embattled Democratic governor of New Jersey, is surging in his race ...Posted by Cynthia Gilbert -
Glenn Beck, Post-Modern Conservative
Buried in the cross-tabs of the new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll is a question that takes a temperature reading of Glenn Beck. Beck actually makes out pretty well. While just ...Posted by Subramanya Sastry -
Don't Count Health Care Chickens Yet
But it's one thing for some combination of the 59 Senate Democrats, plus Olympia Snowe, plus Ted Kennedy's replacement in Massachusetts, plus perhaps one or two retiring ...via FiveThirtyEight -
Politics Done Right: Health Care Is Hazardous to Poll Numbers for Grassley, Other Senators
One of the things about the so-called Gang of Six -- the group of Senators to which Max Baucus issued an exclusive invitation to participate in health care negotiations -- is ...Posted by Dwight Rousu -
Poll: Most Don't Know What "Public Option" Is -- Including Pollsters
(Blog Post) A new survey by Penn, Schoen and Berland Associates for the AARP reveals widespread uncertainty about the nature of the "public option" -- a government-run health insurance ...Posted by Doug Greer -
Afghanistan In a Holding Pattern: Abdullah Protests
With regard to the outcome, it is notable that the main Hamid Karzai rival, Dr. Abdullah, is claiming fraud, while Karzai -- along with the international forces, including the ...via FiveThirtyEight -
Life After the Death of the Public Option
From the President on downward, the White House now seems resigned to losing the fight over the "public option", a government-run insurance plan that would complete against ...Posted by Kelly Garrett -
Obama, Democrats Flunking Health Care Sales Pitch
As I've made clear on a couple of occasions, I think there has generally been too much panic over the process of getting a health care reform bill before the Congress. Given a ...via FiveThirtyEight -
The Baucus Bill's Bad Math
[Any] legislation that emerges from the talks is expected to provide for a non-profit cooperative to sell insurance in competition with private industry, rather than giving ...Posted by Joey Baker
Story Stats
Top Topics
Health Care (24), Obama Administration (8), Presidential Election 2008 (5), Environment (4), Media and Politics (4), Afghanistan (4), John McCain (3), Congressional Elections (3), U.S. Senate (3), U.S. Economy (3), Republican Party (3), U.S. Congress (2), Taxes (2), Money and Politics (2), Election Reform (2)...
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Noreply@Bloggercom (48), Nate Silver (22), Renard Sexton (2), Mark Bluemthal (1), Andrew Gelman (1)
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News Analysis (10), Poll (6), Opinion (6), (2), Special Report (2), Other (1), Investigative Report (1), News Report (1)
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